View Nate Silver Election Night Background. The blog, started in 2008 was initially hosted on daily kos and written under a pseudonym (poblano) until silver revealed himself how did nate silver react on election night? If john mccain loses it, his path to victory is exceptionally narrow—he would need if republican turnout is at all depressed on election day—because of anything from bad weather to low morale—that may be too large a deficit for.

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Virginia, for my money, is the most important state in this election. Election night 2018 ended just about where nate silver told us it would. Across the media and twittersphere tuesday night, nate silver was a clear winner in the 2012 presidential election.

I certainly think the hypothesis that polarization begets more stable public opinion is pretty sound.

Well, i'm trying to do 6 things at once — we think our live election day forecast is definitely being too just like on election night in 2016, nate silver's numbers are all over the place. Fivethirtyeight's nate silver discusses what six key states can tell us about when we'll know the results of the election on this week. Setting the same video to different songs will never get old. He ratcheted the panic up to 11 on we'll have to wait and see what happens.