Get Nate Silver 538 Polls Images. It analyses opinion polls, discusses politics and economics and also blogs. Nate silver analyzes the significance of fundraising in the democratic primary.

Fivethirtyeight Vs The Upshot Who Should You Trust To Forecast The 2016 Presidential Election from compote.slate.com

The guy the left embarrassed themselves by holding up as some kind of weird political oracle? So i think you have a story that would start with the fact that maybe pollsters were not prepared for this early voting surge. There might be 30 or 40 of them a.

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When you go low, i go high 80% of the time, and knee you in the balls the other 20% of the time. The reason we adjust polls for the national trend is because **that's what works best emperically**. Polling averages and forecast models are supposed to bring order to the chaos, put outlier polls in proper perspective and provide a sober, unbiased picture of the state of the presidential race. Statistician and founder of fivethirtyeight nate silver on election polling.